A Scrum Team has a velocity of 40 story points and can typically complete this amount each Sprint. If the Product Backlog contains 150 story points of work, what is the most likely timeline?
- Exactly 4 Sprints
- At least 6 Sprints
- Cannot be determined from the information given ✓
- Between 3 and 4 Sprints
Correct answer: Cannot be determined from the information given
Option C is correct because velocity is an empirical measure of past performance, not a guaranteed future delivery rate. Sprint velocity fluctuates due to team capacity changes, unexpected impediments, technical debt, and varying complexity of backlog items, so projecting exactly how many Sprints 150 points will require is not reliable without more context. Option A is wrong because 150 divided by 40 yields 3.75, not exactly 4, and even that arithmetic assumes constant velocity which Scrum does not guarantee. Option B is wrong because claiming at least 6 Sprints would imply velocity will fall significantly below 40, which is not justified by the given data. Option D is wrong for the same reason as Option A: dividing 150 by 40 gives 3.75, and even that single-point estimate ignores the empirical variability inherent in Scrum planning.
Topic: · scrum, velocity, sprint planning, empirical process control